In a turn of events worthy of the World Cup, bulls have managed to wrest charge of BTC from the bears over the last week, despite their precarious position.. A decent attempt at an inverse head and shoulders bottom is underway, and they've managed to establish a new Alamo support level at $5820.
Since the whole market is following BTCUSD around, I'm just charting that until we see a resolution to the current bottoming attempt.
The pink arrows show the inverse head and shoulders formation. The case for this is clearly made through the weakened volume and higher RSI on the right shoulder.
Inverse head and shoulders patterns can be a potent bottoming formation, but must be accompanied by a surge of volume as the price moves above the neckline (which I've marked in pink here). So the next few days will be telling. Our death-cross target of $4280 (marked in red) remains valid unless we see a high volume push over this pink line.
The bottom of the 'head' represents a new support level at $5820 to keep an eye on. If the bottoming attempt fails we're likely to see another battle there, and only if that level fails will we see the sort of high-volume capitulation move we've been expecting.
Zooming in to look at the inverse h&s on a 4-hour chart, you can clearly see the bulls take charge of the volume during the 'head' in the middle'.
This morning's move over the 50 and 200 moving averages (red and blue here) was on high volume and bodes well for an attempt on the pink neckline.
Watching closely! Have a good week all.
BCB Group has no position or opinion on the price of Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency and this article should not be construed as analysis of or advice regarding the current or future market price of Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. No analysis of the price movements of BTC or any other cryptocurrency or any other asset provided by BCB Group should be construed as an invitation or inducement to buy, sell or otherwise to trade BTC or any other cryptocurrency.
Strategy and Execution Partner
Jon is BCB’s head strategist, with an emphasis on market intelligence. An expert in behavioural science and highly experienced chartist, Jon has been providing BCB’s clients with crypto and macro technical analysis since 2017, and has quickly gained a reputation for accuracy after correctly calling the December 2017 top and August 2018 bottom.
Jon is also MD of British music production company Poseidon. He began studying technical analysis in 2000 due to its overlap with behavioural economics – much used in Poseidon's international marketing work, which has seen the company achieve three iTunes US number one albums among other notable successes.